Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.005688 0.006509 0.007457 0.008647 0.010118 0.011899 0.014260
2025-11-16 0.004431 0.005396 0.006616 0.008312 0.010678 0.013973 0.019132
2025-11-23 0.003879 0.004928 0.006343 0.008467 0.011720 0.016806 0.026073
2025-11-30 0.003414 0.004469 0.005958 0.008321 0.012213 0.018901 0.032814
2025-12-07 0.003029 0.004055 0.005553 0.008036 0.012373 0.020438 0.039334
2025-12-14 0.002765 0.003776 0.005299 0.007926 0.012777 0.022532 0.048436
2025-12-21 0.002627 0.003666 0.005282 0.008197 0.013929 0.026573 0.065950
2025-12-28 0.002535 0.003610 0.005341 0.008604 0.015454 0.032170 0.095111
2026-01-04 0.002404 0.003479 0.005253 0.008721 0.016397 0.036826 0.128802
2026-01-11 0.002259 0.003310 0.005079 0.008635 0.016860 0.040419 0.165592
2026-01-18 0.002146 0.003183 0.004965 0.008653 0.017578 0.045267 0.224347
2026-01-25 0.002011 0.003009 0.004747 0.008418 0.017597 0.047812 0.277074
2026-02-01 0.001851 0.002789 0.004442 0.007991 0.017113 0.048719 0.327145
2026-02-08 0.001722 0.002615 0.004208 0.007695 0.016943 0.050976 0.413795
2026-02-15 0.001658 0.002549 0.004171 0.007833 0.018067 0.059852 0.710520
2026-02-22 0.001570 0.002433 0.004028 0.007703 0.018347 0.065194 1.074381
2026-03-01 0.001477 0.002303 0.003844 0.007447 0.018163 0.068082 1.497066
2026-03-08 0.001409 0.002213 0.003730 0.007348 0.018477 0.074373 2.577037
2026-03-15 0.001379 0.002191 0.003753 0.007591 0.020071 0.091412 9.511856
2026-03-22 0.001361 0.002190 0.003818 0.007957 0.022299 0.118525 279.368750
2026-03-29 0.001322 0.002145 0.003787 0.008061 0.023574 0.141491 NaN
2026-04-05 0.001271 0.002075 0.003695 0.007985 0.024073 0.158441 NaN
2026-04-12 0.001231 0.002023 0.003639 0.008001 0.025010 0.184696 NaN